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Fitch Solutions' BMI revises Egypt’s FY2025/26 account deficit forecast at 3.3%

Updated 3/25/2026 9:31:00 AM
Fitch Solutions' BMI revises Egypt’s FY2025/26 account deficit forecast at 3.3%

Arab Finance: Egypt’s current account deficit is expected to increase to 3.3% of gross domestic product (GDP) during fiscal year (FY) 2025/2026, compared to 2.2%, as per a report from Fitch Solutions’ research unit BMI.

The reports indicated that the US-Iran conflict led to higher energy bills, slower tourist arrivals in the second half (H2) of FY 2025/2026, and a delayed recovery in Suez Canal revenues.

BMI noted that external financing pressures will intensify, with a higher current account deficit and portfolio outflows of $8-$9 billion since mid-February.  

During the Egyptian Family Iftar held on March 14th, President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi revealed that Egypt lost around $10 billion (EGP 500 billion) in Suez Canal revenues amid regional instability.

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